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CONKLING KOPCIKECONOMICS
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Energy, Utilities & Critical Minerals

Japan LNG — Monthly Import Price

The average price Japan pays for imported liquefied natural gas (LNG), a benchmark for Asian gas, from the World Bank's Pink Sheet.

Data status: Provisional
Official statisticSource figures as of October 16, 2026Sources & methods
Sources
World Bank
Period covered
Jan 1977 – Sep 2026
Source figures as of
October 16, 2026
Geography
Japan (import price, a benchmark for Asian LNG)
Sector
Energy, Utilities & Critical Minerals
Seasonal adjustment
Not seasonally adjusted
Transformations
Views other than the level (changes, averages, volatility) are calculated by CK Economics from these figures. The constant-dollar view divides by the BLS consumer price index (CPI-U)
Revisions
Replaced with the source’s latest figures whenever it revises them.
Data status
Provisional
Limitations
Figures from Aug 2026 on are preliminary at the source. Seasonal swings are left in: compare a period with the same period a year earlier.

Full method · Research standards

No projectionIn backtests at 40 past dates, a statistical projection (exponential smoothing, damped trend) was not clearly better than a no-change forecast: its errors over the next 3 months were 10% larger, short of the 5% improvement needed, so none is shown. How we decide

Key figures

CK estimateUS$ per million Btu · calculated by CK Economics from World Bank data

Latest · Sep 2026
14.3
+24.2% vs a year earlier1
5-year change
+24.6%
since Sep 2021, +4.5% a year2
10-year change
+89.0%
since Sep 2016, +6.6% a year2
Record high
23.7
Sep 20223
Record low
2.72
Dec 19983
Where the latest ranks
88th pct.
Higher than 88% of the other 596 observations since Jan 19774
  1. 1Latest observation against the observation one year earlier (for weekly data, the nearest within three days).
  2. 2Latest observation against the observation five and ten years earlier; the yearly rate is the compound annual growth rate over the span.
  3. 3Highest and lowest published observations across the full history shown.
  4. 4Share of the other published observations that are lower than the latest one, rounded down.

Seasonal pattern

CK estimate

Each month of 2026 and 2025 against the average and range of the same month in 2021–2025. Calculated by CK Economics from the published series.

Monthly US$ per million Btu in 2026 and 2025 compared with the 2021–2025 average and range
2026 2025 2021–2025 average 2021–2025 range

Methodology

Japan's average LNG import price, cost, insurance and freight (CIF). The latest two months are World Bank estimates until Japan's official figures arrive, and are marked preliminary. Underlying sources: Official Statistics of Japan, World Gas Intelligence and the World Bank. The World Bank's Pink Sheet reports monthly average prices in nominal US dollars, not adjusted for inflation (the chart's constant-dollar option can adjust them). The World Bank compiles them from the market sources it names for each commodity and updates the workbook early each month; recent months can be revised. The World Bank publishes the data under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 licence. The series runs from January 1977. Projection: none. CK Economics backtests a statistical projection of this series (exponential smoothing with a damped trend) by refitting it at past dates and scoring its forecasts against what happened. Its errors over the next three months were not at least 5% smaller than those of the better of a no-change forecast and repeating the same month a year earlier, so no projection is shown.

How we collect, check and project every dataset →

Source

World Bank, Commodity Price Data (The Pink Sheet), monthly prices, "Liquefied natural gas, Japan": https://www.worldbank.org/en/research/commodity-markets — figures as published on 16 October 2026.

All data

597 observations, newest first · US$ per million Btu

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PeriodValueChange y/y
Sep 202614.3+24.2%
Aug 202615.3+29.5%
Jul 202613.9+16.3%
Jun 202611.8−3.1%
May 202612.9+4.5%
Apr 202615.7+23.4%
Mar 202611.4−9.0%
Feb 202611.3−11.4%
Jan 202611.5−12.9%
Dec 202511.3−10.4%
Nov 202511.2−13.0%
Oct 202511.1−11.5%
Sep 202511.5−11.6%
Aug 202511.8−11.5%
Jul 202511.9−4.6%
Jun 202512.2+0.3%
May 202512.3+1.3%
Apr 202512.7+6.7%
Mar 202512.6−4.9%
Feb 202512.8−6.3%
Jan 202513.2−8.0%
Dec 202412.6−12.5%
Nov 202412.8+0.8%
Oct 202412.5−0.6%

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