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CK Forecasting
Switzerland forecasts
Growth, inflation and unemployment this year, next year and the year after, each with its 80% range and a scorecard of how the same method would have done from the IMF’s past editions. A year is published only where it beat a no-change forecast.
Baseline forecast CK’s central expectation from what is known now, not a scenario. For “what if” paths, such as a closed strait or a tariff, use the simulator: its results are illustrative scenarios and are never scored or shown as forecasts.
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