United States: Real GDP growth, annualized quarterly rate
Percentage change in real GDP on the previous quarter, seasonally adjusted and expressed at an annual rate (BEA, NIPA Table 1.1.1, FRED A191RL1Q225SBEA).
Official statisticSource figures as of October 16, 2026Sources & methods
- Period covered
- Q2 1947 – Q2 2026
- Source figures as of
- October 16, 2026
- Geography
- United States
- Sector
- Whole economy (not a single sector)
- Seasonal adjustment
- Seasonally adjusted
- Transformations
- Views other than the level (changes, averages, volatility) are calculated by CK Economics from these figures
- Revisions
- Replaced with the source’s latest figures whenever it revises them.
- Data status
- Current
Key figures
CK estimate% change, seasonally adjusted annual rate · calculated by CK Economics from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis data
- Latest · Q2 2026
- 2.2
- −1.8 pp vs a year earlier1
- 5-year change
- −4.9 pp
- since Q2 20212
- 10-year change
- +0.9 pp
- since Q2 20162
- Record high
- 34.9
- Q3 20203
- Record low
- −28
- Q2 20203
- Where the latest ranks
- 33rd pct.
- Higher than 33% of the other 316 observations since Q2 19474
- 1Latest observation against the observation one year earlier (for weekly data, the nearest within three days).
- 2Latest observation against the observation five and ten years earlier.
- 3Highest and lowest published observations across the full history shown.
- 4Share of the other published observations that are lower than the latest one, rounded down.
Methodology
Percentage change in real GDP on the previous quarter, seasonally adjusted and expressed at an annual rate (BEA, NIPA Table 1.1.1, FRED A191RL1Q225SBEA). U.S. official statistics as republished by FRED. FRED does not give a publication date without an API key, so a value's date is the day CK Economics first saw it. Source series A191RL1Q225SBEA. Licence: Public domain (U.S. government works).
Source
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and Federal Reserve Board, via FRED, FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED, retrieved 2026-10-19). https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A191RL1Q225SBEA
All data
317 observations, newest first · % change, seasonally adjusted annual rate
| Period | Value | Change y/y |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.2 | −1.8 pp |
| Q1 2026 | 2.5 | +2.4 pp |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2 | −2.2 pp |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9 | +0.7 pp |
| Q2 2025 | 4 | +0.4 pp |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1 | −1.3 pp |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4 | −1.2 pp |
| Q3 2024 | 3.2 | −1.3 pp |
| Q2 2024 | 3.6 | +1.4 pp |
| Q1 2024 | 1.4 | −2 pp |
| Q4 2023 | 3.6 | +0.9 pp |
| Q3 2023 | 4.5 | +1.8 pp |
| Q2 2023 | 2.2 | +1.6 pp |
| Q1 2023 | 3.4 | +4.4 pp |
| Q4 2022 | 2.7 | −4.1 pp |
| Q3 2022 | 2.7 | −0.5 pp |
| Q2 2022 | 0.6 | −6.5 pp |
| Q1 2022 | −1 | −7.2 pp |
| Q4 2021 | 6.8 | +2.2 pp |
| Q3 2021 | 3.2 | −31.7 pp |
| Q2 2021 | 7.1 | +35.1 pp |
| Q1 2021 | 6.2 | +11.4 pp |
| Q4 2020 | 4.6 | +1.8 pp |
| Q3 2020 | 34.9 | +30.1 pp |