{"title":"San Pedro Bay Ports — Monthly Container Volume","slug":"san-pedro-bay-ports-container-volume","url":"https://www.ckeconomics.com/data/san-pedro-bay-ports-container-volume","description":"Combined monthly container throughput of the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach — the San Pedro Bay port complex, the largest container gateway in the United States — in TEUs.","unit":"TEUs","frequency":"Monthly","updated_at":"2026-10-16T16:48:56.796902+00:00","publisher":"Conkling & Kopcik Economics","source":"CK Economics calculation from Port of Los Angeles Historical TEU Statistics and Port of Long Beach TEUs archive (see the individual port datasets).","provider":"Port of Los Angeles and Port of Long Beach, summed by CK Economics","source_url":null,"source_as_of":null,"seasonal_adjustment":"not_seasonally_adjusted","geography":"Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach (San Pedro Bay)","is_flow":true,"source_urls":[],"methodology":"Sum of the Port of Los Angeles and Port of Long Beach monthly total TEUs (including empties) for months published by both ports. A TEU (twenty-foot equivalent unit) is the standard measure of container volume; one 40-foot container is 2 TEUs.\n\nStarts January 2004, the first year the Long Beach monthly archive reconciles with its annual totals. 2009 uses Long Beach's monthly figures as originally reported (its later revised annual total is 1.5% lower). See the individual port datasets for sources and notes.\n\nProjection: CK Economics statistical projection. The central path comes from exponential smoothing (ETS) on the logarithm of the series with a damped additive trend and a 12-month seasonal pattern, so recent growth is carried forward but fades over time. It runs only as far ahead as backtests support: the model is refitted at past dates, its forecasts are scored against what happened, and it is shown only for horizons where its errors were at least 5% smaller than those of the better of a no-change forecast and repeating the same month a year earlier. The shaded band is the 80% range of those backtest errors. It is a conditional estimate that extrapolates past patterns: it does not model policy, tariffs, recessions or other shocks, and it is not an official forecast of the source agency.","quality":{"status":"current","label":"Current","explanation":"The latest figures we have collected are for Aug 2026. Sep 2026 is not overdue until January 4, 2027, a generous allowance for a monthly series until we have timed this source’s releases.","last_period":"2026-08-01","next_period":"2026-09-01","next_expected_by":"2027-01-04","provisional_from":null,"revisions_last_30_days":0,"last_revised_at":null,"source_checked_at":"2026-10-19T22:36:17.436999+00:00","definitions":"https://www.ckeconomics.com/methodology#data-status"},"projection":{"label":"Statistical projection","disclosure_label":"CK forecast","model":"ets_log","model_name":"Exponential smoothing, damped trend","fitted_from":"2006-09-01","fitted_to":"2026-08-01","estimated_on":"2026-10-16","horizon_months":6,"horizon_years":null,"band_percent":80,"backtest":{"errors":"log","margin":0.05,"method":"rolling-origin-v2","buckets":[{"best":"naive","mase":0.966,"smape":7.68,"months":3,"passes":true,"origins":40,"rel_mae":0.843,"coverage":0.783,"error_hi":0.119688,"error_lo":-0.119345,"mase_naive":1.145,"mase_snaive":1.485,"smape_naive":9.39,"coverage_model":0.475},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.404,"smape":11,"months":6,"passes":true,"origins":39,"rel_mae":0.92,"coverage":0.778,"error_hi":0.173471,"error_lo":-0.151589,"mase_naive":1.588,"mase_snaive":1.526,"smape_naive":12.45,"coverage_model":0.496},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.563,"smape":12.4,"months":12,"passes":false,"origins":37,"rel_mae":0.998,"coverage":0.757,"error_hi":0.185723,"error_lo":-0.179006,"mase_naive":1.675,"mase_snaive":1.566,"smape_naive":12.59,"coverage_model":0.622},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":2.004,"smape":15.54,"months":24,"passes":false,"origins":33,"rel_mae":0.965,"coverage":0.717,"error_hi":0.27187,"error_lo":-0.224456,"mase_naive":2.112,"mase_snaive":2.077,"smape_naive":16.39,"coverage_model":0.591},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.875,"smape":14.18,"months":36,"passes":false,"origins":29,"rel_mae":1.053,"coverage":0.764,"error_hi":0.266842,"error_lo":-0.167828,"mase_naive":2.139,"mase_snaive":1.781,"smape_naive":13.52,"coverage_model":0.787},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.985,"smape":14.48,"months":60,"passes":false,"origins":21,"rel_mae":0.918,"coverage":0.438,"error_hi":0.301768,"error_lo":-0.119581,"mase_naive":2.267,"mase_snaive":2.163,"smape_naive":15.99,"coverage_model":0.877}],"data_to":"2026-08-01","origins":40,"withheld":null,"benchmark":"best of naive and seasonal naive","last_origin":"2026-03-01","min_origins":8,"first_origin":"2016-06-01","max_coverage":0.92,"min_coverage":0.65,"horizon_months":6}},"projection_withheld":null,"ck_content_license":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","license_note":"CC BY 4.0 covers CK Economics' own calculations and projections. Source data remains under its publisher's terms.","terms":"https://www.ckeconomics.com/terms","citation":"Conkling & Kopcik Economics. (2026). San Pedro Bay Ports — Monthly Container Volume [Data set]. https://www.ckeconomics.com/data/san-pedro-bay-ports-container-volume","fields":{"period":"Start date of the period (YYYY-MM-DD)","value":"Observation or projection, in TEUs","is_forecast":"true for CK Economics projections, false for published observations","lower":"Lower bound of the projection range (projections only)","upper":"Upper bound of the projection range (projections 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