{"title":"Port of Oakland — Monthly Container Volume","slug":"port-of-oakland-container-volume","url":"https://www.ckeconomics.com/data/port-of-oakland-container-volume","description":"Monthly container throughput at the Port of Oakland, Northern California's main container gateway, in TEUs including full imports, full exports and empty containers.","unit":"TEUs","frequency":"Monthly","updated_at":"2026-10-16T16:45:48.3861+00:00","publisher":"Conkling & Kopcik Economics","source":"Port of Oakland, Facts & Figures — monthly TEU statistics (Excel 1998–2023; PDF 2022–2026): https://www.oaklandseaport.com/business/facts-figures — figures as published on 14 October 2026.","provider":"Port of Oakland","source_url":"https://www.oaklandseaport.com/business/facts-figures","source_as_of":"2026-10-14","seasonal_adjustment":"not_seasonally_adjusted","geography":"Port of Oakland, CA","is_flow":true,"source_urls":["https://www.oaklandseaport.com/business/facts-figures"],"methodology":"Total TEUs per month as published by the Port of Oakland, including empty containers. A TEU (twenty-foot equivalent unit) is the standard measure of container volume; one 40-foot container is 2 TEUs.\n\nJanuary 2015–December 2021 from the port's historical Excel file; January 2022 onward from its current statistics PDF (the newer source where they overlap, reflecting the port's revisions to July and August 2023). The source stores some values with fractional TEUs; whole numbers as displayed by the port are used, so annual sums can differ from published annual totals by 1–2 TEU.\n\nAll 140 months were verified field-by-field against the official files and cross-checked against port press releases. Figures may be revised by the port.\n\nProjection: CK Economics statistical projection. The central path comes from exponential smoothing (ETS) on the logarithm of the series with a damped additive trend and a 12-month seasonal pattern, so recent growth is carried forward but fades over time. It runs only as far ahead as backtests support: the model is refitted at past dates, its forecasts are scored against what happened, and it is shown only for horizons where its errors were at least 5% smaller than those of the better of a no-change forecast and repeating the same month a year earlier. The shaded band is the 80% range of those backtest errors. It is a conditional estimate that extrapolates past patterns: it does not model policy, tariffs, recessions or other shocks, and it is not an official forecast of the source agency.","quality":{"status":"current","label":"Current","explanation":"The latest figures we have collected are for Sep 2026. Oct 2026 is not overdue until February 4, 2027, a generous allowance for a monthly series until we have timed this source’s releases.","last_period":"2026-09-01","next_period":"2026-10-01","next_expected_by":"2027-02-04","provisional_from":null,"revisions_last_30_days":0,"last_revised_at":null,"source_checked_at":"2026-10-19T22:35:59.443488+00:00","definitions":"https://www.ckeconomics.com/methodology#data-status"},"projection":{"label":"Statistical projection","disclosure_label":"CK forecast","model":"ets_log","model_name":"Exponential smoothing, damped trend","fitted_from":"2006-10-01","fitted_to":"2026-09-01","estimated_on":"2026-10-16","horizon_months":12,"horizon_years":1,"band_percent":80,"backtest":{"errors":"log","margin":0.05,"method":"rolling-origin-v2","buckets":[{"best":"naive","mase":0.835,"smape":5.86,"months":3,"passes":true,"origins":40,"rel_mae":0.841,"coverage":0.767,"error_hi":0.086455,"error_lo":-0.096212,"mase_naive":0.993,"mase_snaive":1.135,"smape_naive":6.93,"coverage_model":0.575},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.047,"smape":7.26,"months":6,"passes":true,"origins":39,"rel_mae":0.913,"coverage":0.761,"error_hi":0.096984,"error_lo":-0.116079,"mase_naive":1.209,"mase_snaive":1.146,"smape_naive":7.98,"coverage_model":0.624},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.092,"smape":7.6,"months":12,"passes":true,"origins":37,"rel_mae":0.939,"coverage":0.779,"error_hi":0.105021,"error_lo":-0.133467,"mase_naive":1.324,"mase_snaive":1.163,"smape_naive":8.06,"coverage_model":0.716},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.242,"smape":8.55,"months":24,"passes":false,"origins":33,"rel_mae":0.965,"coverage":0.705,"error_hi":0.104615,"error_lo":-0.170977,"mase_naive":1.483,"mase_snaive":1.287,"smape_naive":8.84,"coverage_model":0.818},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.378,"smape":9.39,"months":36,"passes":false,"origins":29,"rel_mae":0.942,"coverage":0.563,"error_hi":0.103747,"error_lo":-0.206467,"mase_naive":1.629,"mase_snaive":1.462,"smape_naive":9.93,"coverage_model":0.842},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.781,"smape":11.91,"months":60,"passes":false,"origins":21,"rel_mae":0.998,"coverage":0.271,"error_hi":0.077345,"error_lo":-0.228961,"mase_naive":1.842,"mase_snaive":1.785,"smape_naive":11.93,"coverage_model":0.907}],"data_to":"2026-09-01","origins":40,"withheld":null,"benchmark":"best of naive and seasonal naive","last_origin":"2026-06-01","min_origins":8,"first_origin":"2016-09-01","max_coverage":0.92,"min_coverage":0.65,"horizon_months":12}},"projection_withheld":null,"ck_content_license":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","license_note":"CC BY 4.0 covers CK Economics' own calculations and projections. Source data remains under its publisher's terms.","terms":"https://www.ckeconomics.com/terms","citation":"Conkling & Kopcik Economics. (2026). Port of Oakland — Monthly Container Volume [Data set]. https://www.ckeconomics.com/data/port-of-oakland-container-volume","fields":{"period":"Start date of the period (YYYY-MM-DD)","value":"Observation or projection, in TEUs","is_forecast":"true for CK Economics projections, false for published observations","lower":"Lower bound of the projection range (projections only)","upper":"Upper bound of the projection range (projections 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