{"title":"Port of Los Angeles — Monthly Container Volume","slug":"port-of-los-angeles-container-volume","url":"https://www.ckeconomics.com/data/port-of-los-angeles-container-volume","description":"Monthly container throughput at the Port of Los Angeles, the busiest container port in the United States, in TEUs including loaded imports, loaded exports and empty containers.","unit":"TEUs","frequency":"Monthly","updated_at":"2026-10-16T16:45:16.025565+00:00","publisher":"Conkling & Kopcik Economics","source":"Port of Los Angeles, Historical TEU Statistics (yearly tables, 1995–2026): https://www.portoflosangeles.org/business/statistics/container-statistics/historical-teu-statistics-2026 — figures as published on 9 October 2026.","provider":"Port of Los Angeles","source_url":"https://www.portoflosangeles.org/business/statistics/container-statistics/historical-teu-statistics-2026","source_as_of":"2026-10-09","seasonal_adjustment":"not_seasonally_adjusted","geography":"Port of Los Angeles, CA","is_flow":true,"source_urls":["https://www.portoflosangeles.org/business/statistics/container-statistics/historical-teu-statistics-2026"],"methodology":"Total TEUs per month as published by the Port of Los Angeles, including empty containers. A TEU (twenty-foot equivalent unit) is the standard measure of container volume; one 40-foot container is 2 TEUs.\n\nData are taken from the port's official yearly statistics tables and checked independently: monthly figures sum exactly to the port's published annual totals for every year 1995–2025 and to the 2026 year-to-date total, and spot-checked against port press releases.\n\nNotes: The November 2020 total appears garbled on the source page (\"889.,748.15\"); we use 889,746.15, which matches the same page's import and export totals, the published 2020 annual total and the port's November 2020 press release. The port revised December 2023 after its initial release (747,335 → 742,519 TEUs); the current official figure is used. Figures may be revised by the port.\n\nProjection: CK Economics statistical projection. The central path comes from exponential smoothing (ETS) on the logarithm of the series with a damped additive trend and a 12-month seasonal pattern, so recent growth is carried forward but fades over time. It runs only as far ahead as backtests support: the model is refitted at past dates, its forecasts are scored against what happened, and it is shown only for horizons where its errors were at least 5% smaller than those of the better of a no-change forecast and repeating the same month a year earlier. The shaded band is the 80% range of those backtest errors. It is a conditional estimate that extrapolates past patterns: it does not model policy, tariffs, recessions or other shocks, and it is not an official forecast of the source agency.","quality":{"status":"current","label":"Current","explanation":"The latest figures we have collected are for Sep 2026. Oct 2026 is not overdue until February 4, 2027, a generous allowance for a monthly series until we have timed this source’s releases.","last_period":"2026-09-01","next_period":"2026-10-01","next_expected_by":"2027-02-04","provisional_from":null,"revisions_last_30_days":0,"last_revised_at":null,"source_checked_at":"2026-10-19T22:35:40.948386+00:00","definitions":"https://www.ckeconomics.com/methodology#data-status"},"projection":{"label":"Statistical projection","disclosure_label":"CK forecast","model":"ets_log","model_name":"Exponential smoothing, damped trend","fitted_from":"2006-10-01","fitted_to":"2026-09-01","estimated_on":"2026-10-16","horizon_months":3,"horizon_years":null,"band_percent":80,"backtest":{"errors":"log","margin":0.05,"method":"rolling-origin-v2","buckets":[{"best":"naive","mase":1.204,"smape":9.74,"months":3,"passes":true,"origins":40,"rel_mae":0.87,"coverage":0.783,"error_hi":0.182696,"error_lo":-0.123619,"mase_naive":1.384,"mase_snaive":1.617,"smape_naive":11.51,"coverage_model":0.433},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.549,"smape":12.34,"months":6,"passes":false,"origins":39,"rel_mae":0.966,"coverage":0.795,"error_hi":0.194261,"error_lo":-0.166045,"mase_naive":1.866,"mase_snaive":1.604,"smape_naive":13.22,"coverage_model":0.556},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.601,"smape":12.94,"months":12,"passes":false,"origins":37,"rel_mae":0.989,"coverage":0.761,"error_hi":0.194462,"error_lo":-0.205028,"mase_naive":1.737,"mase_snaive":1.619,"smape_naive":13.26,"coverage_model":0.671},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.971,"smape":15.71,"months":24,"passes":false,"origins":33,"rel_mae":1.002,"coverage":0.73,"error_hi":0.260519,"error_lo":-0.247337,"mase_naive":2.157,"mase_snaive":1.967,"smape_naive":15.96,"coverage_model":0.689},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.854,"smape":14.46,"months":36,"passes":false,"origins":29,"rel_mae":0.995,"coverage":0.822,"error_hi":0.241397,"error_lo":-0.20543,"mase_naive":2.168,"mase_snaive":1.864,"smape_naive":14.69,"coverage_model":0.862},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.788,"smape":13.47,"months":60,"passes":false,"origins":21,"rel_mae":0.899,"coverage":0.521,"error_hi":0.247652,"error_lo":-0.173338,"mase_naive":2.111,"mase_snaive":1.989,"smape_naive":15.18,"coverage_model":0.962}],"data_to":"2026-09-01","origins":40,"withheld":null,"benchmark":"best of naive and seasonal naive","last_origin":"2026-06-01","min_origins":8,"first_origin":"2016-09-01","max_coverage":0.92,"min_coverage":0.65,"horizon_months":3}},"projection_withheld":null,"ck_content_license":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","license_note":"CC BY 4.0 covers CK Economics' own calculations and projections. Source data remains under its publisher's terms.","terms":"https://www.ckeconomics.com/terms","citation":"Conkling & Kopcik Economics. (2026). Port of Los Angeles — Monthly Container Volume [Data set]. https://www.ckeconomics.com/data/port-of-los-angeles-container-volume","fields":{"period":"Start date of the period (YYYY-MM-DD)","value":"Observation or projection, in TEUs","is_forecast":"true for CK Economics projections, false for published observations","lower":"Lower bound of the projection range (projections only)","upper":"Upper bound of the projection range (projections 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