{"title":"Los Angeles Customs District — Monthly Seafood Imports","slug":"los-angeles-seafood-imports","url":"https://www.ckeconomics.com/data/los-angeles-seafood-imports","description":"Monthly value of fishery product imports (edible and nonedible) entering the United States through Customs District 27, Los Angeles, CA, in millions of US dollars.","unit":"US$ millions","frequency":"Monthly","updated_at":"2026-10-16T16:42:23.676236+00:00","publisher":"Conkling & Kopcik Economics","source":"NOAA Fisheries, Fisheries One Stop Shop (FOSS) foreign trade data (Customs District 27, imports): https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/foss/f?p=215:2 — figures as published on 11 October 2026.","provider":"NOAA Fisheries","source_url":"https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/foss/f?p=215:2","source_as_of":"2026-10-10","seasonal_adjustment":"not_seasonally_adjusted","geography":"U.S. Customs District 27 (Los Angeles, CA)","is_flow":true,"source_urls":["https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/foss/f?p=215:2"],"methodology":"The value is the total customs value, in nominal US dollars, of all fishery products imported through U.S. Customs District 27 (Los Angeles, CA) in the month, divided by one million. Fishery products follow NOAA Fisheries' definition and include edible seafood (fresh, frozen, canned and prepared fish and shellfish) and nonedible products such as fish meal, fish oil, seaweed products, coral and shells. Re-exports and exports are excluded. The district covers the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, Los Angeles International Airport and other entry points in the region.\n\nThe figures are summed from NOAA's row-level trade records (one row per tariff product, country of origin and month), read from the FOSS REST API. NOAA compiles them from U.S. Census Bureau foreign trade statistics. Records before 1989 use the older TSUSA tariff classification, mapped by NOAA to the same fishery product groups. Values are not adjusted for inflation or seasonality.\n\nThe series runs from January 1972, the first month NOAA publishes, with no gaps. Totals were checked against NOAA's FOSS Foreign Trade query page for August 2026 and March 1995, and matched to the dollar. Census revises recent months, and the full history is re-read on each update.\n\nProjection: CK Economics statistical projection. The central path comes from exponential smoothing (ETS) on the logarithm of the series with a damped additive trend and a 12-month seasonal pattern, so recent growth is carried forward but fades over time. It runs only as far ahead as backtests support: the model is refitted at past dates, its forecasts are scored against what happened, and it is shown only for horizons where its errors were at least 5% smaller than those of the better of a no-change forecast and repeating the same month a year earlier. The shaded band is the 80% range of those backtest errors. It is a conditional estimate that extrapolates past patterns: it does not model policy, tariffs, recessions or other shocks, and it is not an official forecast of the source agency.","quality":{"status":"current","label":"Current","explanation":"The latest figures we have collected are for Aug 2026. Sep 2026 is not overdue until January 4, 2027, a generous allowance for a monthly series until we have timed this source’s releases.","last_period":"2026-08-01","next_period":"2026-09-01","next_expected_by":"2027-01-04","provisional_from":null,"revisions_last_30_days":0,"last_revised_at":null,"source_checked_at":"2026-10-19T22:33:06.399165+00:00","definitions":"https://www.ckeconomics.com/methodology#data-status"},"projection":{"label":"Statistical projection","disclosure_label":"CK forecast","model":"ets_log","model_name":"Exponential smoothing, damped trend","fitted_from":"2006-09-01","fitted_to":"2026-08-01","estimated_on":"2026-10-16","horizon_months":12,"horizon_years":1,"band_percent":80,"backtest":{"errors":"log","margin":0.05,"method":"rolling-origin-v2","buckets":[{"best":"naive","mase":1.275,"smape":8.91,"months":3,"passes":true,"origins":40,"rel_mae":0.806,"coverage":0.775,"error_hi":0.139201,"error_lo":-0.137533,"mase_naive":1.581,"mase_snaive":2.071,"smape_naive":11.08,"coverage_model":0.567},{"best":"naive","mase":1.79,"smape":12.43,"months":6,"passes":true,"origins":39,"rel_mae":0.858,"coverage":0.795,"error_hi":0.161021,"error_lo":-0.195877,"mase_naive":2.087,"mase_snaive":2.09,"smape_naive":14.32,"coverage_model":0.598},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":1.965,"smape":13.39,"months":12,"passes":true,"origins":37,"rel_mae":0.919,"coverage":0.779,"error_hi":0.219008,"error_lo":-0.211617,"mase_naive":2.195,"mase_snaive":2.139,"smape_naive":14.74,"coverage_model":0.671},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":2.291,"smape":15.47,"months":24,"passes":false,"origins":33,"rel_mae":0.963,"coverage":0.783,"error_hi":0.203509,"error_lo":-0.263005,"mase_naive":2.543,"mase_snaive":2.378,"smape_naive":16.02,"coverage_model":0.768},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":2.27,"smape":15.09,"months":36,"passes":false,"origins":29,"rel_mae":1.036,"coverage":0.773,"error_hi":0.204251,"error_lo":-0.265318,"mase_naive":2.439,"mase_snaive":2.192,"smape_naive":14.72,"coverage_model":0.848},{"best":"seasonal_naive","mase":2.025,"smape":13.22,"months":60,"passes":false,"origins":21,"rel_mae":0.998,"coverage":0.75,"error_hi":0.193974,"error_lo":-0.206015,"mase_naive":2.135,"mase_snaive":2.029,"smape_naive":13.19,"coverage_model":0.946}],"data_to":"2026-08-01","origins":40,"withheld":null,"benchmark":"best of naive and seasonal naive","last_origin":"2026-03-01","min_origins":8,"first_origin":"2016-06-01","max_coverage":0.92,"min_coverage":0.65,"horizon_months":12}},"projection_withheld":null,"ck_content_license":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","license_note":"CC BY 4.0 covers CK Economics' own calculations and projections. Source data remains under its publisher's terms.","terms":"https://www.ckeconomics.com/terms","citation":"Conkling & Kopcik Economics. (2026). Los Angeles Customs District — Monthly Seafood Imports [Data set]. https://www.ckeconomics.com/data/los-angeles-seafood-imports","fields":{"period":"Start date of the period (YYYY-MM-DD)","value":"Observation or projection, in US$ millions","is_forecast":"true for CK Economics projections, false for published observations","lower":"Lower bound of the projection range (projections only)","upper":"Upper bound of the projection range (projections 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